Seattle Mariners: 2022 Prop and Futures Guide
Pacific Northwest Sports breaks down Seattle Mariners team and individual prop bets for the 2022 season.
Sports betting has exploded in recent years. Fans can find odds or lines on almost any game and player. PNWS dug up some interesting Seattle Mariners proposition and futures bets for 2022 on the internet. We then asked our baseball writers, Joe Swenson, Ed Stein, and Chip Clark, to break it down for our readers.
Seattle Mariners Team
Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 83.5 Wins
Joe: Over. Based on the analytics as well as projected growth and an increased liability in the field (both Eugenio Suarez and Jesse Winker are negative value fielders), this team tops out in the 89-92 win window.
Ed: Over. The Mariners should win at least as that many if not more games. They won 90 games last season and greatly improved their defense and starting rotation. Also, LAA should be slightly better, Houston worse, Oakland much worse, and any improvements made by Texas won’t offset the increased loss totals of the two previous teams.
Chip: Over. But not by much. I think the Mariners were their own worst enemy in 2021. But they also had a -50 run differential or 0.31 runs per game. Their team is better, but logically if they erase the deficit, that makes Seattle a .500 outfit.
Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 199 Home Runs
Joe: Over. With new power in the outfield (Jesse Winker) and maintaining power numbers at 3B with Eugenio Suarez, the M’s figure to be in the mix for 200+ home runs.
Breaking it down; 35+ for Suarez and Haniger. 25+ for Winker and possibly Ty France. 15+ for Jarred Kenic, Throw in the catchers along with minimal contributions from J.P. Crawford (10-15), Todd Frazier (10-15), and your baseline power number runs at 170-200. From there, add in a few more homers from Abraham Toro, Dylan Moore, and hopefully J-Rod, and the Seattle Mariners break 200.
Ed: Over. Even without Kyle Seager‘s 35 home runs, the M’s should blow 199 out of the water. Either Eugenio Suarez or Jessie Winker will equal what Seager did last year. Then they still have what the other new slugger does. Don’t forget that Kyle Lewis should have more than 147 at bats in 2022 to hit bombs.
Chip: Push. What bothers me is the alarming amount of strikeouts this team will again have. Without base runners and pitchers knowing Seattle batters will chase, how many good pitches will they see?
Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.30 ERA
Joe: Over. The big question marks for Seattle’s pitching staff are: will Robbie Ray perform anywhere close to his 2021 Cy Young? And will Logan Gilbert progress based on his stellar final month of the 2021 season?
Couple in one of MLB’s best bullpens when you’re ahead, and the recipe for an under is there. However, the M’s will again struggle in middle-relief, and spot starts with Sheffield and crew manning the innings eating portion of games.
Ed: Over. Ray may be an ace and put up a 2.84 earned run average, but his career ERA is 4.00. The bullpen can’t possibly be as good as it was last year. For those reasons, unfortunately, Seattle’s ERA should push 4.50.
Chip: Under. Success builds on success. Last year’s bullpen welcomes the additions of Andres Munoz and Ken Giles. I also believe that Logan Gilbert greatly improves over his rookie year production. Finally, Marco Gonzales‘s injuries problems from 2021 are over, and his ERA will drop closer to 3.50.